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2012 Queensland state election#Polling

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2012 Queensland state election#Polling
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{{Short description|none}}{{for|the local government elections held in April|2012 Queensland local elections}}{{Use Australian English|date=October 2015}}{{Use dmy dates|date=April 2024}}







factoids
0.07 Percentage point>pp)| opinion_polls =x170px)| leader1 = Campbell Newman| party1 = Liberal National Party of QueenslandElectoral district of Ashgrove>Ashgrove(won seat)| last_election1 = 34 seats, 41.60%| seats_before1 = 33 seats| seats1 = 78| seat_change1 = {{increase}} 45| popular_vote1 = 1,214,553| percentage1 = 49.7%| swing1 = {{increase}} 8.1x170px)| leader2 = Anna BlighElectoral district of South Brisbane>South Brisbane| popular_vote2 = 652,092| percentage2 = 26.7%| swing2 = {{decrease}} 15.6| last_election2 = 51 seats, 42.25%| seats_before2 = 51 seats| seats2 = 7| seat_change2 = {{decrease}} 44Two-party-preferred vote>TPP| 1data1 = 62.8%| 1data2 = 37.2%Two-party-preferred vote>TPP swing| 2data1 = {{increase}} 13.7| 2data2 = {{decrease}} 13.7x170px)| leader3 = Aidan McLindonElectoral district of Beaudesert>Beaudesert(lost seat)| popular_vote3 = 282,098| percentage3 = 11.5%| swing3 = {{increase}} 11.5| last_election3 = Did not contest| seats_before3 = 1 seat| seats3 = 2| seat_change3 = {{increase}} 1| map_image = 2012 Queensland state election.svg| map_size = 400px| map_caption = Winning margin by electorate.Premier of Queensland>Premier| before_election = Anna Bligh| before_party = Australian Labor Party (Queensland Branch)| posttitle =| after_election = Campbell Newman| after_party = Liberal National Party of Queensland}}The 2012 Queensland state election was held on 24 March 2012 to elect all 89 members of the Legislative Assembly, a unicameral parliament.Bligh officially sets Queensland election date. ABC News. Australian Broadcasting Corporation. Retrieved 19 February 2012.The Labor Party (ALP), led by Premier Anna Bligh, was defeated by the opposition Liberal National Party (LNP), led by Campbell Newman in a landslide victory. It is only the sixth time that Queenslanders have ousted a sitting government since 1915. The ALP was attempting to win a ninth consecutive election victory, having won every general election since 1989, despite being out of office between 1996 and 1998. Katter's Australian Party contested its first election. Before the election, it held two seats whose members had been elected as LNP candidates.Labor suffered one of the worst defeats of a state government since Federation, and the worst defeat of a sitting government in Queensland history. From 51 seats in 2009, it was reduced to only seven seats, suffering a swing of 15.6 percentage points. The LNP won a majority for the first time in its history, jumping from 34 to 78 seats to win the largest majority government in Queensland history. It was the first outright non-Labor majority since the Queensland Nationals won their last victory in 1986. Katter's Australian Party won two seats, though leader Aidan McLindon lost his own seat. The remaining two seats were taken by independents. Newman took office two days after the election.Historically, Queenslanders have given their governments long tenures in office. The 2012 election marked only the sixth change of government in the state since 1915.

Background

In choosing 24 March, Bligh made the unusual step of announcing the election date two months prior. Bligh was criticised for selecting a date which required the postponement of local government elections.NEWS, Wordsworth, Matt, 25 January 2012, Bligh's poll timing sparks outcry,weblink live,weblink" title="web.archive.org/web/20120126162024weblink">weblink 26 January 2012, 26 January 2012, PM, ABC News, Australia, Bligh has said that date allowed Queenslanders to view the final report of the Commission of Inquiry into the 2010–11 Queensland floods before they vote.NEWS, Wordsworth, Matt, 25 January 2012, Qld to have March 24 poll,weblink dead,weblink" title="web.archive.org/web/20150221161936weblink">weblink 21 February 2015, 28 January 2012, PM, ABC News, Australia, Normal practice in Australia is for parliament to be dissolved at the time of the election announcement. However, Bligh did not formally ask Governor Penelope Wensley to dissolve Parliament until 19 February. Wensley granted the request, formally beginning the 35-day campaign.NEWS, 19 February 2012, Bligh officially sets Queensland election date,weblink 20 February 2012, Australian Broadcasting Corporation, By not asking for a dissolution in January, Bligh avoided placing the government in caretaker mode for 25 days.

Leadership of the Liberal National Party

Campbell Newman was elected leader of the LNP in early 2011 while he was the Lord Mayor of Brisbane. Standard practice calls for an MP from a safe seat to resign so that a newly elected leader can get into parliament via a by-election, though this is not universally followed. However, when Newman won the leadership in 2011, a by-election could not be arranged.Green, Antony. Queensland election preview {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20161111031021weblink|date=11 November 2016}}. Australian Broadcasting Corporation, 25 January 2012. For this reason, Jeff Seeney was elected as interim parliamentary leader of the LNP and Leader of the Opposition. Newman led the LNP election team from outside of parliament, often sitting at the galleries, and simultaneously contested the seat of Ashgrove as the LNP candidate.Robinson, Paul (23 March 2011). LNP leadership wrangle a 'Campbell shambles' {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110511192740weblink|date=11 May 2011}}. ABC News. Australian Broadcasting Corporation.

Disendorsed candidates

The Liberal National Party disendorsed two candidates for the Gold Coast seat of Broadwater. Richard Townson was caught drink driving with a blood alcohol content of 0.07 when he was in a police random breath test. Cameron Caldwell was disendorsed when he confirmed he had attended a Gold Coast swingers' club.WEB, 24 February 2012, LNP loses a second Broadwater candidate,weblink live,weblink" title="web.archive.org/web/20120227042621weblink">weblink 27 February 2012, 24 March 2012, Brisbane Times, The Australian Labor Party disendorsed candidate Peter Watson for the seat of Southern Downs and expelled him from the party for making racist and homophobic remarks online.NEWS, 21 February 2012, ALP candidate for Southern Downs Peter Watson expelled over online posts regarding homophobia and neo-nazis,weblink live,weblink" title="web.archive.org/web/20120424013614weblink">weblink 24 April 2012, 7 March 2012, The Courier-Mail,

Katter appeal on ballot papers

On 2 March 2012, Katter's Australian Party sought an injunction in the Supreme Court of Queensland to have more than 2 million ballot papers shredded and reprinted. The party said the Queensland Electoral Commission used the party's abbreviated name, "The Australian Party", instead of its registered name, "Katter's Australian Party (Qld Division)", which the party claimed could confuse voters.NEWS, 2 March 2012, Katter wants millions of ballots shredded,weblink live,weblink" title="web.archive.org/web/20120305031318weblink">weblink 5 March 2012, 7 March 2012, Brisbane Times, Bligh said that her lawyers had advised her to reschedule the election if Katter's challenge succeeded.NEWS, 5 March 2012, Bob Katter's Australian Party goes to court to settle ballot branding issue,weblink live,weblink" title="web.archive.org/web/20120417012417weblink">weblink 17 April 2012, 7 March 2012, The Courier-Mail, On 7 March, Supreme Court Justice Roslyn Atkinson referred the matter to the Queensland Court of Appeal as matters of constitutional law in the case were outside her jurisdiction.NEWS, 7 March 2012, Katter ballots case sent to higher court,weblink live,weblink" title="web.archive.org/web/20120309055059weblink">weblink 9 March 2012, 7 March 2012, Brisbane Times, The Court of Appeal rejected the constitutional arguments and dismissed the appeal the following day.NEWS, 8 March 2012, Bob Katter loses bid to have his name on ballot papers for state election,weblink live,weblink" title="web.archive.org/web/20120416221019weblink">weblink 16 April 2012, 8 March 2012, The Courier-Mail,

Key dates {| class"wikitable"

! Date! Event| 19 February 2012Writ of election issued by the Governor of Queensland>GovernorELECTION TIMETABLE: 2012 STATE GENERAL ELECTION >URL=HTTP://WWW.ECQ.QLD.GOV.AU/ELECTIONS/STATE/STATE2012/TIMETABLE.HTML ARCHIVE-URL=HTTPS://WEB.ARCHIVE.ORG/WEB/20120322115935/HTTP://WWW.ECQ.QLD.GOV.AU/ELECTIONS/STATE/STATE2012/TIMETABLE.HTML ACCESS-DATE=26 APRIL 2012, Electoral Commission of Queensland, | 25 February 2012| Close of electoral rolls| 27 February 2012| Close of nominations| 24 March 2012| Polling day, between the hours of 8am and 6pm| 26 March 2012Newman Ministry was sworn in26 MARCH 2012 URL=HTTP://WWW.BRISBANETIMES.COM.AU/QUEENSLAND/STATE-ELECTION-2012/NEWMAN-TEAM-MOVES-INTO-GEORGE-STREET-20120326-1VT1B.HTML ARCHIVE-URL=HTTPS://WEB.ARCHIVE.ORG/WEB/20120329025531/HTTP://WWW.BRISBANETIMES.COM.AU/QUEENSLAND/STATE-ELECTION-2012/NEWMAN-TEAM-MOVES-INTO-GEORGE-STREET-20120326-1VT1B.HTML ACCESS-DATE=26 MARCH 2012, Brisbane Times, | 3 April 2012URL=HTTP://STATEMENTS.CABINET.QLD.GOV.AU/MMS/STATEMENTDISPLAYSINGLE.ASPX?ID=78933 ARCHIVE-URL=HTTPS://WEB.ARCHIVE.ORG/WEB/20120419154829/HTTP://STATEMENTS.CABINET.QLD.GOV.AU/MMS/STATEMENTDISPLAYSINGLE.ASPX?ID=78933 ACCESS-DATE=30 MARCH 2012, Department of Premier and Cabinet, | 23 April 2012| Writ returned and results formally declared| 15 May 2012URL-STATUS=LIVE ARCHIVE-DATE=14 SEPTEMBER 2023 VIA=PARLIAMENT.QLD.GOV.AU,

Results

{{see also|Post-election pendulum for the Queensland state election, 2012}}{{see also|Results of the Queensland state election, 2012}}The estimated two-party preferred result was 37.2% for Labor and 62.8% for the LNP, a swing of 13.7% from Labor's result of 2009.WEB, Galaxy Poll Results,weblink News Online, 31 January 2015,weblink" title="web.archive.org/web/20150201011057weblink">weblink 1 February 2015, live, The LNP had been unbackable favourites to win the election. By the time the writs were issued, they had led opinion polling for over a year, and had been ahead of Labor on all but one Newspoll since 2010.The LNP swept Labor from power in a massive landslide, taking 78 seats to Labor's seven on a two-party-preferred swing of 13.7 points away from Labor. The 44-seat loss is double the 22-seat loss suffered by the Nationals in the 1989 election, the previous record for the worst defeat of a sitting government in Queensland history. The 13.7-percent swing is one of the largest against a sitting state government in Australia since World War II.In the process, the LNP won many seats considered Labor heartland. It broke Labor's longstanding grip on Brisbane, taking all but three of the city's 40 seats, some on swings of 10 points or more. By comparison, Labor went into the election holding all but six seats in the capital, which had been its power base for over 20 years. In every election since the "one vote, one value" reforms of the Goss government, Labor had won at least 30 seats in Brisbane. The LNP also won every seat on the Gold Coast while strengthening its hold on its traditional heartlands in provincial and rural Queensland. Ten members of Bligh's cabinet were defeated. Newman won Ashgrove handily, defeating Labor's Kate Jones on a 13-point swing, almost double the 7-point swing he needed to take the seat off Labor.ABC News called the election for the LNP at 6:48 pm Queensland time, less than an hour after counting began. Bligh conceded defeat at 8:25 pm, and Newman publicly claimed victory 20 minutes later.As it happened: LNP pulls off crushing win{{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120324132723weblink |date=24 March 2012 }}. ABC News, 24 March 2012.The day after the election, Bligh resigned as premier and Queensland Labor leader. She also announced she was resigning from parliament on 30 March and retiring from politics, triggering a by-election in her seat of South Brisbane.NEWS,weblink Bligh resigns after election wipe-out, ABC News, Australia, 25 March 2012, 25 March 2012,weblink" title="web.archive.org/web/20120325133947weblink">weblink 25 March 2012, live, NEWS,weblink Anna Bligh quits: 'Labor cannot rebuild with me in its ranks', Helbig, Koren, Sarah, Vogler, The Courier Mail, Brisbane, 25 March 2012, 25 March 2012,weblink" title="web.archive.org/web/20120401184008weblink">weblink 1 April 2012, dead, An hour later, Newman, who at the time did not know that Bligh had resigned, announced that he would be sworn in as premier on 26 March, heading an interim three-man cabinet composed of himself, Seeney and Tim Nicholls. Although Newman's victory was beyond doubt, counting was still under way in some seats. Bligh handed in her resignation later on the afternoon of 25 March, but remained as caretaker until Newman was sworn in the next day.Labor was reduced to its smallest presence in the legislature on record, outdoing its previous low in 1974, when it was cut down to a "cricket team" of only 11 members at the height of Joh Bjelke-Petersen's power. Indeed, Michael Madigan of The Courier-Mail wrote that Labor had been reduced to a "water polo squad."NEWS,weblink Queensland Labor barely alive after future leadership decapitated in state election, Madigan, Michael, The Courier-Mail, 2012-03-17, Although Labor came up two seats short of official party status in the legislature, Newman promised that Labor would be "properly resourced as an opposition".WEB,weblink Fixed four-year terms on the horizon in the Sunshine State, 29 March 2012, The Australian, 30 March 2012,weblink" title="web.archive.org/web/20150301170022weblink">weblink 1 March 2015, live, File:Queensland Legislative Assembly 2012.svg|thumb|The composition of the Legislative Assembly following the election.]](File:2012 Queensland state election - Simple Results.svg|thumb|Winning party by electorate.){{Gallagher index|election = 2012 Queensland state election|side = right|size = 55Liberal National Party of Queensland}}Liberal National Party of Queensland>Liberal National|votes1 = 49.65|seats1 = 87.64Australian Labor Party}}Australian Labor Party (Queensland Branch)>Labor|votes2 = 26.66|seats2 = 7.87Katter's Australian Party}}Katter's Australian Party>Katter|votes3 = 11.53|seats3 = 2.25Australian Greens}}Queensland Greens>Greens|votes4 = 7.53|seats4 = 0Independent}}Independent politician>Independent|votes5 = 3.16|seats5 = 2.25Others}}|party6 = Other|votes6 = 1.47|seats6 = 0}}{{Australian elections/Title row| title = Queensland state election, 24 March 2012Legislative Assembly of Queensland>Legislative Assembly| series = Queensland state election| back = 2009| forward = 2015| enrolled = 2,746,844| total_votes = 2,499,612| turnout % = 91.00| turnout chg = +0.07| informal = 53,797| informal % = 2.15| informal chg = +0.21}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Liberal National
|government = yes
|votes = 1,214,553
|votes % = 49.66
|votes chg = +8.06
|seats = 78
|seats chg = +44
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Labor QLD |party = Labor
|votes = 652,092
|votes % = 26.66
|votes chg = –15.59
|seats = 7
|seats chg = –44
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Katter's Australian Party
|party = Katter's Australian Party
|votes = 282,098
|votes % = 11.53
|votes chg = +11.53
|seats = 2
|seats chg = +2
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Greens QLD
|party = Greens
|votes = 184,147
|votes % = 7.53
|votes chg = –0.84
|seats = 0
|seats chg = ±0
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Family First
|votes = 33,269
|votes % = 1.36
|votes chg = +0.54
|seats = 0
|seats chg = ±0
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = One Nation
|votes = 2,525
|votes % = 0.10
|votes chg = –0.28
|seats = 0
|seats chg = ±0
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Independent
|votes = 77,282
|votes % = 3.16
|votes chg = –3.42
|seats = 2
|seats chg = –2
}}{hide}Australian elections/Total row |
|total_votes = 2,445,966
|total_seats = 89
{edih}{{Australian elections/2PP summary |
|party id 1 = Liberal National
|2pp votes 1 =
|2pp % 1 = 62.8
|2pp chg 1 = +13.7
|party id 2 = Labor QLD
|2pp votes 2 =
|2pp % 2 = 37.2
|2pp chg 2 = −13.7
}}* The two-party preferred summary is an estimate by Antony Green using a methodology by Malcolm Mackerras.{{bar box|title=Popular vote|titlebar=#ddd|width=600px|barwidth=410px|bars={{bar percent|LNP|{{party color|Liberal National Party of Queensland}}|49.66}}{{bar percent|Labor|{{party color|Australian Labor Party}}|26.66}}{{bar percent|Katter's|{{party color|Katter's Australian Party}}|11.53}}{{bar percent|Greens|{{party color|Queensland Greens}}|7.53}}{{bar percent|Family First|#00CCFF|1.36}}{{bar percent|One Nation|{{party color|Pauline Hanson's One Nation}}|0.10}}{{bar percent|Independents|{{party color|Independent}}|3.16}}}}{{bar box|title=Two-party preferred vote|titlebar=#ddd|width=600px|barwidth=410px|bars={{bar percent|LNP|{{party color|Liberal National Party of Queensland}}|62.80}}{{bar percent|Labor|{{party color|Australian Labor Party}}|37.20}}}}{{bar box|title=Seats|titlebar=#ddd|width=600px|barwidth=410px|bars={{bar percent|LNP|{{party color|Liberal National Party of Queensland}}|87.64}}{{bar percent|Labor|{{party color|Australian Labor Party}}|7.87}}{{bar percent|Katter's|{{party color|Katter's Australian Party}}|2.25}}{{bar percent|Independents|{{party color|Independent}}|2.25}}}}">

Seats changing hands {|class"wikitable"

! rowspan="2" style="text-align:center"| Seat! colspan="4" style="text-align:center"| 2009 Election! rowspan="2" style="text-align:center"| Swing! colspan="4" style="text-align:center"| 2012 Election! colspan="2" style="text-align:center"| Party! style="text-align:center"| Member! style="text-align:center"| Margin! style="text-align:center"| Margin! style="text-align:center"| Member! colspan="2" style="text-align:center"| PartyElectoral district of Albert>AlbertLabor}}| | Labor| Margaret Keech 6.47 –18.36 11.89| Mark Boothman| Liberal NationalLiberal National}}| Electoral district of Algester>AlgesterLabor}}| | Labor| Karen Struthers 9.21 –18.36 9.15| Anthony Shorten| Liberal NationalLiberal National}}| Electoral district of Ashgrove>AshgroveLabor}}| | Labor| Kate Jones 7.10 –12.79 5.70| Campbell Newman| Liberal NationalLiberal National}}| Electoral district of Barron River>Barron RiverLabor}}| | Labor| Steve Wettenhall 2.32 –11.81 9.48Michael Trout (Australian politician)>Michael Trout| Liberal NationalLiberal National}}| Electoral district of Brisbane Central>Brisbane CentralLabor}}| | Labor| Grace Grace 5.97 –10.85 4.88| Robert Cavallucci| Liberal NationalLiberal National}}| Electoral district of Broadwater>BroadwaterLabor}}| | Labor| Peta-Kaye Croft 2.03 –13.32 11.29| Verity Barton| Liberal NationalLiberal National}}| Electoral district of Bulimba>BulimbaLabor}}| | Labor| Di Farmer 7.77 –7.91 0.14| Aaron Dillaway| Liberal NationalLiberal National}}| Electoral district of Burleigh>BurleighLabor}}| | LaborChristine Smith (politician)>Christine Smith 4.90 –15.95 11.05Michael Hart (Australian politician)>Michael Hart| Liberal NationalLiberal National}}| Electoral district of Cairns>CairnsLabor}}| | Labor| Desley Boyle 4.15 –13.03 8.87| Gavin King| Liberal NationalLiberal National}}| Electoral district of Capalaba>CapalabaLabor}}| | LaborMichael Choi (politician)>Michael Choi 9.67 –13.40 3.73Steve Davies (politician)>Steve Davies| Liberal NationalLiberal National}}| Electoral district of Chatsworth>ChatsworthLabor}}| | Labor| Steve Kilburn 0.14 –14.08 13.94| Steve Minnikin| Liberal NationalLiberal National}}| Electoral district of Cook>CookLabor}}| | Labor| Jason O'Brien 2.24 –5.68 3.43| David Kempton| Liberal NationalLiberal National}}| Electoral district of Dalrymple>DalrympleLiberal National}}| |Liberal National|Shane Knuth1 5.18 –20.40 15.22|Shane Knuth|Katter's AustralianKatter's Australian Party}} | Electoral district of Everton>EvertonLabor}} | | Labor| Murray Watt 1.39 –14.54 13.15| Tim Mander| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | Electoral district of Ferny Grove>Ferny GroveLabor}} | | LaborGeoff Wilson (Australian politician)>Geoff Wilson 4.49 –14.02 9.52| Dale Shuttleworth| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | Electoral district of Greenslopes>GreenslopesLabor}} | | Labor| Cameron Dick 6.94 –9.40 2.45| Ian Kaye| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | Electoral district of Ipswich>IpswichLabor}} | | Labor| Rachel Nolan 16.71 –20.90 4.19Ian Berry (politician)>Ian Berry| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | Electoral district of Ipswich West>Ipswich WestLabor}} | | Labor| Wayne Wendt 9.55 –16.71 7.16| Sean Choat| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | Electoral district of Kallangur>KallangurLabor}} | | Labor| Mary-Anne O'Neill 4.63 –17.06 12.43| Trevor Ruthenberg| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | Electoral district of Keppel>KeppelLabor}} | | Labor| Paul Hoolihan 7.62 –14.02 6.39Bruce Young (politician)>Bruce Young| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | Electoral district of Logan>LoganLabor}} | | LaborJohn Mickel (politician)>John Mickel 13.93 –18.73 4.80| Michael Pucci| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | Electoral district of Lytton>LyttonLabor}} | | LaborPaul Lucas (politician)>Paul Lucas 12.21 –13.79 1.58| Neil Symes| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | Electoral district of Mansfield>MansfieldLabor}} | | LaborPhil Reeves (politician)>Phil Reeves 4.39 –15.53 11.14Ian Walker (politician)>Ian Walker| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | Electoral district of Maryborough (Queensland)>MaryboroughIndependent}} | | IndependentChris Foley (politician)>Chris Foley 16.83 –17.14 0.31| Anne Maddern| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | Electoral district of Morayfield>MorayfieldLabor}} | | LaborMark Ryan (Australian politician)>Mark Ryan 9.13 –14.71 5.57| Darren Grimwade| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | Electoral district of Mount Coot-tha>Mount Coot-thaLabor}} | | LaborAndrew Fraser (Queensland politician)>Andrew Fraser 5.25 –10.60 5.36| Saxon Rice| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | Electoral district of Mount Isa>Mount IsaLabor}} | | Labor| Betty Kiernan 5.72 15.76 10.04| Robbie Katter| Katter's AustralianKatter's Australian Party}} | Electoral district of Mount Ommaney>Mount OmmaneyLabor}} | | Labor| Julie Attwood 4.79 –21.27 16.48| Tarnya Smith| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | Electoral district of Mundingburra>MundingburraLabor}} | | Labor| Lindy Nelson-Carr 6.59 –16.78 10.19| David Crisafulli| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | Electoral district of Murrumba>MurrumbaLabor}} | | LaborDean Wells (politician)>Dean Wells 7.21 –16.74 9.52| Reg Gulley| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | Electoral district of Nanango>NanangoIndependent}} | | Independent| Dorothy Pratt 2.90 -11.88 8.98| Deb Frecklington| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | Electoral district of Nudgee>NudgeeLabor}} | | LaborNeil Roberts (politician)>Neil Roberts 4.26 –17.37 3.11| Jason Woodforth| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | Electoral district of Pine Rivers>Pine RiversLabor}} | | Labor| Carolyn Male 4.61 –18.27 13.66| Seath Holswich| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | Electoral district of Pumicestone>PumicestoneLabor}} | | Labor| Carryn Sullivan 4.99 –17.06 12.07| Lisa France| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | Electoral district of Redcliffe>RedcliffeLabor}} | | Labor| Lillian van Litsenburg 5.57 –15.67 10.10| Scott Driscoll| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | Electoral district of Sandgate>SandgateLabor}} | | Labor| Vicky Darling 12.37 –15.24 2.87| Kerry Millard| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | Electoral district of Southport>SouthportLabor}} | | Labor| Peter Lawlor 3.48 –18.20 14.72| Rob Molhoek| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | Electoral district of Springwood>SpringwoodLabor}} | | Labor| Barbara Stone 4.08 –19.48 15.39John Grant (Queensland politician)>John Grant| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | Electoral district of Stafford>StaffordLabor}} | | Labor| Stirling Hinchliffe 7.29 –14.35 7.06Chris Davis (politician)>Chris Davis| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | Electoral district of Stretton>StrettonLabor}} | | LaborStephen Robertson (politician)>Stephen Robertson 9.48 −19.04 9.55| Freya Ostapovitch| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | Electoral district of Sunnybank>SunnybankLabor}} | | Labor| Judy Spence 10.79 −21.02 10.23Mark Stewart (politician)>Mark Stewart| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | Electoral district of Thuringowa>ThuringowaLabor}} | | LaborCraig Wallace (politician)>Craig Wallace 8.47 −9.85 1.38Sam Cox (Australian politician)>Sam Cox| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | Electoral district of Toowoomba North>Toowoomba NorthLabor}} | | Labor| Kerry Shine 3.22 –12.80 9.58Trevor Watts (politician)>Trevor Watts| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | Electoral district of Townsville>TownsvilleLabor}} | | Labor| Mandy Johnstone 4.02 −8.84 4.83John Hathaway (politician)>John Hathaway| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | Electoral district of Waterford>WaterfordLabor}} | | Labor| Evan Moorhead 16.46 −17.50 1.04| Mike Latter| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | Electoral district of Whitsunday>WhitsundayLabor}} | | Labor| Jan Jarratt 3.24 −13.91 10.67| Jason Costigan| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | Electoral district of Yeerongpilly>YeerongpillyLabor}} | | LaborSimon Finn (politician)>Simon Finn 8.73 −10.17 1.44| Carl Judge| Liberal NationalLiberal National}} | 
  • Members listed in italics did not contest their seat at this election.
  • 1 Shane Knuth was elected as a member of the Liberal National Party, but resigned and joined Katter's Australian Party in 2011.
  • The Liberal National Party also retained the seats of Beaudesert, where the sitting Liberal National member had resigned and contested the election as a member of Katter's Australian Party. The Liberal National Party also retained the seat of Burnett, where the sitting Liberal National member had resigned and contested the election as an Independent.
Government seats">

Post-election pendulum {| class"toccolours" cellpadding"5" cellspacing"0" style"float:left; margin-right:.5em; margin-top:.4em; font-size:90 ppt;"Government seats

MarginalBulimbaAaron DillawayLNP0.14%MaryboroughAnne MaddernLNP0.31% v INDWaterfordMike LatterLNP1.04%ThuringowaSam CoxLNP1.38% v KAPYeerongpillyCarl JudgeLNP1.44%LyttonNeil SymesLNP1.58%GreenslopesIan KayeLNP2.45%SandgateKerry MillardLNP2.87%NudgeeJason WoodforthLNP3.11%CookDavid KemptonLNP3.43%HinchinbrookAndrew CrippsLNP3.63% v KAPCapalabaSteve DaviesLNP3.73%IpswichIan BerryLNP4.19%LoganMichael PucciLNP4.80%TownsvilleJohn HathawayLNP4.83%Brisbane CentralRobert CavallucciLNP4.88%Mount Coot-thaSaxon RiceLNP5.36%MorayfieldDarren GrimwadeLNP5.57%AshgroveCampbell NewmanLNP5.70%Fairly safeKeppelBruce YoungLNP6.39%StaffordChris DavisLNP7.06%Ipswich WestSean ChoatLNP7.16%BurnettStephen BennettLNP8.50% v INDCairnsGavin KingLNP8.87%NanangoDeb FrecklingtonLNP8.98% v KAPAlgesterAnthony ShortenLNP9.15%Barron RiverMichael TroutLNP9.48%Ferny GroveDale ShuttleworthLNP9.52%MurrumbaReg GulleyLNP9.52%StrettonFreya OstapovitchLNP9.55%Toowoomba NorthTrevor WattsLNP9.58%SafeRedcliffeScott DriscollLNP10.10%MundingburraDavid CrisafulliLNP10.19%SunnybankMark StewartLNP10.23%BeaudesertJon KrauseLNP10.56% v KAPWhitsundayJason CostiganLNP10.67%BurleighMichael HartLNP11.05%MansfieldIan WalkerLNP11.14%MiraniTed MaloneLNP11.19%BroadwaterVerity BartonLNP11.29%AlbertMark BoothmanLNP11.89%PumicestoneLisa FranceLNP12.07%KallangurTrevor RuthenbergLNP12.43%BurdekinRosemary MenkensLNP12.47% v KAPEvertonTim ManderLNP13.15%CallideJeff SeeneyLNP13.51% v KAPPine RiversSeath HolswichLNP13.66%ChatsworthSteve MinnikinLNP13.94%SouthportRob MolhoekLNP14.72%LockyerIan RickussLNP14.87% v KAPSpringwoodJohn GrantLNP15.39%Mount OmmaneyTarnya SmithLNP16.48%GympieDavid GibsonLNP17.26% v KAPClevelandMark RobinsonLNP18.10%BundabergJack DempseyLNP18.17%GavenAlex DouglasLNP19.10%IndooroopillyScott EmersonLNP19.55%Very safeCondamineRay HopperLNP20.10% v KAPCurrumbinJann StuckeyLNP20.18%Glass HouseAndrew PowellLNP20.39%ClayfieldTim NichollsLNP20.56%MaroochydoreFiona SimpsonLNP20.93%RedlandsPeter DowlingLNP21.10%CaloundraMark McArdleLNP21.23%Toowoomba SouthJohn McVeighLNP21.62%Hervey BayTed SorensenLNP21.72%AspleyTracy DavisLNP21.75%CoomeraMichael CrandonLNP23.26%MoggillBruce FleggLNP23.91%WarregoHoward HobbsLNP25.06%NoosaGlen ElmesLNP25.46% v GRNGregoryVaughan JohnsonLNP25.48%MudgeerabaRos BatesLNP25.93%BuderimSteve DicksonLNP26.01%Mermaid BeachRay StevensLNP26.05%KawanaJarrod BleijieLNP26.26%Surfers ParadiseJohn-Paul LangbroekLNP29.50%Southern DownsLawrence SpringborgLNP29.77% v KAP{| class="toccolours" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" style="float:left; margin-right:.5em; margin-top:.4em; font-size:90 ppt;" Non-government seatsMarginalMackayTim MulherinALP0.53%MulgraveCurtis PittALP1.15%BundambaJo-Ann MillerALP1.82%RockhamptonWilliam ByrneALP3.95%South BrisbaneAnna BlighALP4.66%WoodridgeDesley ScottALP5.80%Fairly safeInalaAnnastacia PalaszczukALP6.90%Crossbench seatsNicklinPeter WellingtonIND4.55% v LNPMount IsaRobbie KatterKAP10.04% v LNPGladstoneLiz CunninghamIND14.03% v ALPDalrympleShane KnuthKAP15.22% v LNP{{Clear}}

Subsequent changes

  • On 30 March 2012, former Premier Anna Bligh (South Brisbane) resigned. At the by-election on 28 April 2012, Jackie Trad retained the electorate for the Labor Party.
  • On 28 November 2012, Ray Hopper (Condamine) resigned from the Liberal National Party and joined Katter's Australian Party.
  • On 30 November 2012, Carl Judge (Yeerongpilly) resigned from the Liberal National Party and sat as an Independent. He then joined the Palmer United Party on 7 June 2013, but resigned on 8 October 2014 and again sat as an Independent.
  • On 1 December 2012, Alex Douglas (Gaven) resigned from the Liberal National Party and sat as an Independent. He then joined the Palmer United Party on 7 Jun 2013, but resigned on 18 August 2014 and again sat as an Independent.
  • On 19 April 2013, Scott Driscoll (Redcliffe) resigned from the Liberal National Party and sat as an Independent. On 19 November 2013 he resigned. At the by-election on 22 February 2014, Yvette D'Ath gained the seat for the Labor Party.
  • On 23 May 2014, Chris Davis (Stafford) resigned. At the by-election on 19 July 2014, Anthony Lynham gained the seat for the Labor Party.

Retiring MPs

The following Members of Parliament stood down at the election:

Labor

LNP

Independent

  • Dorothy Pratt (Nanango) – announced 15 April 2011NEWS,weblink As the major parties go to war, 'Dolly' calls it a day, Brisbane Times, 16 April 2011, 25 January 2012,weblink" title="web.archive.org/web/20110920180656weblink">weblink 20 September 2011, Moore, Tony, live,

Polling

Newspoll and Galaxy polling was conducted via random telephone number selection in city and country areas. Sampling sizes usually consist of around 800-1000 electors, with the declared margin of error at around ±3 percent.

Graphical summary

{{Image frame
| align=left
| caption=Graphical summary of primary voting opinion polls for the 2012 Queensland state election.
| content = {{Graph:Chart
| width=650
| height=400
| yAxisMax=60
| yAxisMin=0
| xAxisTitle=
| yAxisTitle=%primary vote
| xAxisAngle = -40
| legend=Party
| interpolate = basis
| showSymbols = 1.5
| xType = date
| y1Title=Labor
| y2Title=Liberal-National
| y3Title=Greens
| y4Title=Other(s)/Independent
| type=line
| xGrid = | yGrid =
| x=2009/03/21, 2009/06/21, 2009/07/31, 2009/09/14, 2009/10/30, 2009/12/03, 2010/02/14, 2010/06/07, 2010/09/09, 2010/11/27, 2011/01/08, 2011/02/20, 2011/03/24, 2011/03/27, 2011/05/18, 2011/05/22, 2011/08/27, 2011/09/27, 2011/11/20, 2011/12/18, 2012/01/29, 2012/02/17, 2012/03/17, 2012/03/22
| y1=42.25, 36, 30,, 35, 34, 31, 32, 29, 28, 26, 35, 38, 36, 31, 30, 28, 27, 28, 31, 32, 30, 30, 28
| y2=41.60, 47, 48,, 43, 43, 48, 44, 44, 48, 45, 46, 37, 47, 51, 52, 52, 50, 50, 44, 49, 47, 47, 50
| y3=8.37,,12,,15,,13, 16, 14, 16, 13, 12, 10, 10, 7,,,8, 10, 10,,9, 9, 6
| y4=7.78,,10,,,,8, 8, 13, 8, 16, 7, 15, 7, 11,, 15, 12, 14,, 14, 14, 16
| colors = #DE3533, #0033CC, #1bbf88, #b3b3b3
| vAnnotatonsLine=2011/03/22
| vAnnotatonsLabel=Newman replaces Langbroek
}}}}{{clear}}{{Image frame
| align=left
| caption=Graphical summary of two-party preferred voting opinion polls for the 2012 Queensland state election.
| content = {{Graph:Chart
| width=650
| height=400
| yAxisMax=70
| yAxisMin=30
| xAxisTitle=
| yAxisTitle=%primary vote
| xAxisAngle = -40
| legend=Party
| interpolate = bundle
| showSymbols = 1.5
| xType = date
| y1Title=Labor
| y2Title=Liberal-National
| y3Title=Greens
| y4Title=Other(s)/Independent
| type=line
| xGrid = | yGrid =
| x=2009/03/21, 2009/06/21, 2009/07/31, 2009/09/14, 2009/10/30, 2009/12/03, 2010/02/14, 2010/06/07, 2010/09/09, 2010/11/27, 2011/01/08, 2011/02/20, 2011/03/24, 2011/03/27, 2011/05/18, 2011/05/22, 2011/08/27, 2011/09/27, 2011/11/20, 2011/12/18, 2012/01/29, 2012/02/17, 2012/03/17, 2012/03/22
| y1=50.9, 45, 41, 46, 45, 46, 41, 45, 43, 40, 41, 45, 52, 45, 40, 39, 37, 39, 38, 44, 41, 42, 40, 39.2
| y2=49.1, 55, 59, 54, 55, 54, 59, 55, 57, 60, 59, 55, 48, 55, 60, 61, 63, 61, 62, 56, 59, 58, 60, 60.8
| colors = #DE3533, #0033CC
| vAnnotatonsLine=2011/03/22
| vAnnotatonsLabel=Newman replaces Langbroek
}}}}{{clear}}{| class="toccolours" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" style="float:left; margin-right:.5em; margin-top:.4em; font-size:90%;"|+Legislative Assembly polling! style="background:#; text-align:center;"|! style="background:#; text-align:center;" colspan="4"|Primary vote! style="background:#; text-align:center;" colspan="2"|TPP vote! style="background:#; text-align:center;"|! style="background:#f66; text-align:center;"|ALP! style="background:#00bfff; text-align:center;"|LNP! style="background:#90ee90; text-align:center;"|GRN! style="background:#ff0; text-align:center;"|OTH! style="background:#f66; text-align:center;"|ALP! style="background:#00bfff; text-align:center;"|LNP! style="text-align:center; background:#b0e9db;"| 2012 election26.7%49.7%7.5%16.1%37.2%62.8%! style="text-align:center;" bgcolor=""|20–22 March 201228%50%6%16%39.2%60.8%! style="text-align:center;" bgcolor=""|3–15 February 201230%47%9%14%42%58%! style="text-align:center;" bgcolor=""|Oct–Dec 201131%44%10%15%44%56%! style="text-align:center;" bgcolor=""|Jul–Sep 201127%50%8%15%39%61%! style="text-align:center;" bgcolor=""|Apr–May 201131%51%7%11%40%60%! style="text-align:center;" bgcolor=""|Jan–Mar 201138%37%10%15%52%48%! style="text-align:center;" bgcolor=""|Oct–Dec 201026%45%13%16%41%59%! style="text-align:center;" bgcolor=""|Jul–Sep 201029%44%14%13%43%57%! style="text-align:center; background:#b0e9db;"| 2009 election42.3%41.6%8.4%7.8%50.9%49.1%! style="text-align:center;" bgcolor=""|18–19 March 200942%42%7%9%49.9%50.1%weblink" title="web.archive.org/web/20120331161328weblink">Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian.{{Clear}}

Better Premier and leadership approval graphical summary

{{Image frame
| align=left
| caption=Graphical summary of Better Premier opinion polling for the 2012 Queensland state election.
| content = {{Graph:Chart
| width=650
| height=400
| yAxisMax=70
| yAxisMin=0
| xAxisTitle=
| yAxisTitle=%percentage
| xAxisAngle = -40
| legend=Leader
| interpolate = bundle
| showSymbols = 1.5
| xType = date
| y1Title=Bligh
| y2Title=Langbroek
| y3Title=Newman
| y4Title=Uncommitted
| type=line
| xGrid = | yGrid =
| x=2009/09/14, 2009/11/01, 2009/12/03, 2010/02/14, 2010/06/07, 2010/09/09, 2010/11/27, 2011/01/08, 2011/02/20, 2011/03/24, 2011/03/27, 2011/05/22, 2011/08/27, 2011/09/27, 2011/11/20, 2011/12/18, 2012/01/29, 2012/02/17, 2012/03/17, 2012/03/22
| y1=45, 40, 41, 37, 36, 34, 35, 31, 58, 53, 38, 35, 38, 34, 40, 39, 40, 40, 43, 36
| y2=33, 39, 40, 42, 43, 42, 49, 41, 33, 26
| y3={{repeat|11|,}}51, 49, 55, 48, 51, 43, 49, 44, 51, 51
| y4=22, 21, 19, 21, 21, 24, 16, 28, 9, 21, 11, 16, 7, 18, 9, 18, 11, 16, 6, 13
| colors = #DE3533, #0033CC, #0033CC, #b3b3b3
| vAnnotatonsLine=2011/03/22
| vAnnotatonsLabel=Newman replaces Langbroek
}}}}{{clear}}{{Image frame
| align=left
| caption=Graphical summary of Anna Bligh's approval ratings as Premier.
| content = {{Graph:Chart
| width=650
| height=400
| yAxisMax=75
| yAxisMin=0
| xAxisTitle=
| yAxisTitle=%percentage
| xAxisAngle = -40
| legend=Rating
| interpolate = basis
| showSymbols = 1.5
| xType = date
| y1Title=Approval
| y2Title=Disapproval
| y3Title=Uncommitted
| type=line
| xGrid = | yGrid =
| x=2009/07/31, 2009/09/14, 2009/10/30, 2009/12/03, 2010/02/14, 2010/06/07, 2010/09/09, 2010/11/27, 2011/01/08, 2011/02/20, 2011/03/24, 2011/05/22,2011/08/27, 2011/09/27, 2011/11/20, 2011/12/18, 2012/01/29, 2012/02/17, 2012/03/17, 2012/03/22
| y1=33, 33, 30, 32, 28, 25, 26, 25, 24, 60, 49, 40, 40, 38, 40, 39, 43, 41, 36, 36
| y2=66, 60,,62, 64, 69, 65, 70, 67, 31, 43, 50, 56, 52, 56, 50, 50, 50, 61, 58
| y3=1, 7,,6, 8, 6, 9, 5, 9, 9, 8, 10, 4, 10, 4, 11, 7, 9, 3, 6
| colors=#19bd81, #dd3433, #b3b3b3
}}}}{{clear}}{| class="toccolours" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" style="float:left; margin-right:.5em; margin-top:.4em; font-size:90%;"|+ Better Premier polling^!!! Bligh! Newman!! ALP! LNP!! style="text-align:center;" bgcolor=""| 20–22 March 201236%51%! style="text-align:center;" bgcolor=""| 3–15 February 201240%44%! style="text-align:center;" bgcolor=""|Oct–Dec 201139%43%! style="text-align:center;" bgcolor=""|Jul–Sep 201134%48%! style="text-align:center;" bgcolor=""|Apr–May 201135%49%! style="text-align:center;" bgcolor=""|Jan–Mar 201153%26%2! style="text-align:center;" bgcolor=""|Oct–Dec 201031%41%2! style="text-align:center;" bgcolor=""|Jul–Sep 201034%42%2! style="text-align:center; background:#b0e9db;"|2009 election––! style="text-align:center;" bgcolor=""|18–19 March 200953%33%1weblink" title="web.archive.org/web/20120331161328weblink">Polling conducted by Newspolland published in The Australian.^ Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader.1 Lawrence Springborg.2 John-Paul Langbroek.
{| class="toccolours" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" style="float:left; margin-right:.5em; margin-top:.4em; font-size:90%;"|+ Satisfaction polling^
!! style="background:#; text-align:center;" colspan="2" |Bligh! style="background:#; text-align:center;" colspan="2" |Newman!! style="background:#; text-align:center;" colspan="2" |ALP! style="background:#; text-align:center;" colspan="2" |LNP!! style="background:#; text-align:center;" |Satisfied! style="background:#; text-align:center;" |Dissatisfied! style="background:#; text-align:center;" |Satisfied! style="background:#; text-align:center;" |Dissatisfied! style="text-align:center;"|20–22 March 201236%58%47%40%! style="text-align:center;"|3–15 February 201241%50%45%37%! style="text-align:center;"|Oct–Dec 201139%50%45%33%! style="text-align:center;"|Jul–Sep 201138%52%51%27%! style="text-align:center;"|Apr–May 201140%50%50%22%! style="text-align:center;"|Jan–Mar 201149%43%33%240%2! style="text-align:center;"|Oct–Dec 201024%67%38%238%2! style="text-align:center;"|Jul–Sep 201026%65%32%242%2! style="text-align:center; background:#b0e9db;"|2009 election––––! style="text-align:center;"|18–19 March 200946%44%39%149%1weblink" title="web.archive.org/web/20120331161328weblink">Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian.^Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader.1 Lawrence Springborg.2 John-Paul Langbroek.{{Clear}}">

Newspaper endorsements {| class"wikitable"

! Newspaper! colspan="2" | Endorsement| The AustralianLiberal National Party of Queensland}}HTTP://WWW.THEAUSTRALIAN.COM.AU/NEWS/OPINION/LABORS-DAY-OF-RECKONING-ARRIVES-IN-QUEENSLAND/STORY-E6FRG71X-1226307653787 >TITLE=LABOR'S DAY OF RECKONING ARRIVES IN QUEENSLAND DATE=24 MARCH 2012 ARCHIVE-URL=HTTPS://WEB.ARCHIVE.ORG/WEB/20120324131923/HTTP://WWW.THEAUSTRALIAN.COM.AU/NEWS/OPINION/LABORS-DAY-OF-RECKONING-ARRIVES-IN-QUEENSLAND/STORY-E6FRG71X-1226307653787 URL-STATUS=LIVE, | The Courier-MailLiberal National Party of Queensland}}

See also

{{Clear}}

References

{{Reflist}}

External links

{{Queensland elections}}

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