SUPPORT THE WORK

GetWiki

Cognitive bias

ARTICLE SUBJECTS
aesthetics  →
being  →
complexity  →
database  →
enterprise  →
ethics  →
fiction  →
history  →
internet  →
knowledge  →
language  →
licensing  →
linux  →
logic  →
method  →
news  →
perception  →
philosophy  →
policy  →
purpose  →
religion  →
science  →
sociology  →
software  →
truth  →
unix  →
wiki  →
ARTICLE TYPES
essay  →
feed  →
help  →
system  →
wiki  →
ARTICLE ORIGINS
critical  →
discussion  →
forked  →
imported  →
original  →
Cognitive bias
[ temporary import ]
please note:
- the content below is remote from Wikipedia
- it has been imported raw for GetWiki
{{See also | List of cognitive biases | Cognitive bias in animals}}{{psychology sidebar}}A cognitive bias is a systematic pattern of deviation from norm or rationality in judgment.BOOK, Haselton, M. G., Nettle, D., Andrews, P. W., yes, The evolution of cognitive bias., 2005, Hoboken, NJ, US: John Wiley & Sons Inc, In D. M. Buss (Ed.), The Handbook of Evolutionary Psychology, 724–746,weblink Individuals create their own "subjective social reality" from their perception of the input. An individual's construction of social reality, not the objective input, may dictate their behaviour in the social world.BOOK, Bless, H., Fiedler, K., Strack, F., yes, Social cognition: How individuals construct social reality, 2004, Hove and New York: Psychology Press, Thus, cognitive biases may sometimes lead to perceptual distortion, inaccurate judgment, illogical interpretation, or what is broadly called irrationality.JOURNAL, Kahneman, D., Tversky, A., 1972, Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness, Cognitive Psychology, 3, 3, 430–454, 10.1016/0010-0285(72)90016-3,weblink Baron, J. (2007). Thinking and Deciding (4th ed.). New York, NY: Cambridge University Press.BOOK, Ariely, Dan, Dan Ariely, 2008, Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions, New York, NY, HarperCollins, 978-0-06-135323-9, Some cognitive biases are presumably adaptive. Cognitive biases may lead to more effective actions in a given context.For instance: JOURNAL, Gigerenzer, G., Goldstein, D. G., Reasoning the fast and frugal way: Models of bounded rationality., Psychological Review, 1996, 103, 650–669, 10.1037/0033-295X.103.4.650, 8888650, 4,weblink Furthermore, allowing cognitive biases enable faster decisions which can be desirable when timeliness is more valuable than accuracy, as illustrated in heuristics.JOURNAL, Tversky, A., Kahneman, D., yes, Judgement under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases, Science, 1974, 185, 1124–1131., 10.1126/science.185.4157.1124, 17835457, 4157, 1974Sci...185.1124T, Other cognitive biases are a "by-product" of human processing limitations,BOOK, Haselton, M. G., Nettle, D., Andrews, P. W., yes, The evolution of cognitive bias, 2005, Hoboken, NJ, US: John Wiley & Sons Inc., In D. M. Buss (Ed.), The Handbook of Evolutionary Psychology, 724–746, resulting from a lack of appropriate mental mechanisms (bounded rationality), or simply from a limited capacity for information processing.BOOK, Bless, H., Fiedler, K., Strack, F., yes, Social cognition: How individuals construct social reality., 2004, Hove and New York: Psychology Press., JOURNAL, Associative processes in intuitive judgment,weblink Trends in Cognitive Sciences, 2010-01-10, 1364-6613, 20696611, 435–440, 14, 10, 10.1016/j.tics.2010.07.004, Carey K., Morewedge, Daniel, Kahneman, 5378157, A continually evolving list of cognitive biases has been identified over the last six decades of research on human judgment and decision-making in cognitive science, social psychology, and behavioral economics. Kahneman and Tversky (1996) argue that cognitive biases have efficient practical implications for areas including clinical judgment, entrepreneurship, finance, and management.JOURNAL, Kahneman, D., Tversky, A., yes, On the reality of cognitive illusions, Psychological Review, 1996, 103, 3, 582–591, 10.1037/0033-295X.103.3.582, 8759048,weblink JOURNAL, S.X. Zhang, J. Cueto, The Study of Bias in Entrepreneurship, Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, 41, 3, n/a, 10.1111/etap.12212,weblink 2015,

Overview

Bias arises from various processes that are sometimes difficult to distinguish. These include
  • information-processing shortcuts (heuristics)Kahneman, D., Slovic, P., & Tversky, A. (1982). Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases (1st ed.). Cambridge University Press.
  • noisy information processing (distortions in the process of storage in and retrieval from memory)
  • the brain's limited information processing capacityJOURNAL, Simon, H. A., 1955, A behavioral model of rational choice, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 69, 1, 99–118, 10.2307/1884852, 1884852,
  • emotional and moral motivationsJOURNAL, Pfister, H.-R., Böhm, G., 2008, The multiplicity of emotions: A framework of emotional functions in decision making, Judgment and Decision Making, 3, 5–17,
  • social influenceJOURNAL, Wang, X. T., Simons, F., Brédart, S., 2001, Social cues and verbal framing in risky choice, Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 14, 1, 1–15, 10.1002/1099-0771(200101)14:13.0.CO;2-N,
The notion of cognitive biases was introduced by Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman in 1972BOOK, Kahneman, Daniel, Shane Frederick, Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment, Thomas Gilovich, Dale Griffin, Daniel Kahneman, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2002, 51–52, Representativeness Revisited: Attribute Substitution in Intuitive Judgment, 978-0-521-79679-8, and grew out of their experience of people's innumeracy, or inability to reason intuitively with the greater orders of magnitude. Tversky, Kahneman and colleagues demonstrated several replicable ways in which human judgments and decisions differ from rational choice theory. Tversky and Kahneman explained human differences in judgement and decision making in terms of heuristics. Heuristics involve mental shortcuts which provide swift estimates about the possibility of uncertain occurrences. Heuristics are simple for the brain to compute but sometimes introduce "severe and systematic errors."For example, the representativeness heuristic is defined as the tendency to "judge the frequency or likelihood" of an occurrence by the extent of which the event "resembles the typical case".BOOK, Baumeister, R. F., Bushman, B. J., Social psychology and human nature: International Edition, 2010, Wadsworth, Belmont, USA, 141, The "Linda Problem" illustrates the representativeness heuristic (Tversky & Kahneman, 1983JOURNAL, Tversky, A., Kahneman, D., yes, Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgement, Psychological Review, 1983, 90, 4, 293–315, 10.1037/0033-295X.90.4.293,weblink ). Participants were given a description of "Linda" that suggests Linda might well be a feminist (e.g., she is said to be concerned about discrimination and social justice issues). They were then asked whether they thought Linda was more likely to be a "(a) bank teller" or a "(b) bank teller and active in the feminist movement". A majority chose answer (b). This error (mathematically, answer (b) cannot be more likely than answer (a)) is an example of the "conjunction fallacy"; Tversky and Kahneman argued that respondents chose (b) because it seemed more "representative" or typical of persons who might fit the description of Linda. The representativeness heuristic may lead to errors such as activating stereotypes and inaccurate judgments of others (Haselton et al., 2005, p. 726).Alternatively, critics of Kahneman and Tversky such as Gerd Gigerenzer argue that heuristics should not lead us to conceive of human thinking as riddled with irrational cognitive biases, but rather to conceive rationality as an adaptive tool that is not identical to the rules of formal logic or the probability calculus.BOOK, Gigerenzer, G., Bounded and Rational, R. J., Stainton, Contemporary Debates in Cognitive Science, Blackwell, 2006, 129, 1-4051-1304-9, Nevertheless, experiments such as the "Linda problem" grew into the heuristics and biases research program which spread beyond academic psychology into other disciplines including medicine and political science.

Types

Biases can be distinguished on a number of dimensions. For example,
  • there are biases specific to groups (such as the risky shift) as well as biases at the individual level.
  • Some biases affect decision-making, where the desirability of options has to be considered (e.g., sunk costs fallacy).
  • Others such as illusory correlation affect judgment of how likely something is, or of whether one thing is the cause of another.
  • A distinctive class of biases affect memory,JOURNAL, Schacter, D.L., 1999, The Seven Sins of Memory: Insights From Psychology and Cognitive Neuroscience, American Psychologist, 54, 3, 182–203, 10.1037/0003-066X.54.3.182, 10199218, such as consistency bias (remembering one's past attitudes and behavior as more similar to one's present attitudes).
Some biases reflect a subject's motivation,JOURNAL, Kunda, Z., 1990, The Case for Motivated Reasoning, Psychological Bulletin, 108, 3, 480–498, 10.1037/0033-2909.108.3.480, 2270237,weblink for example, the desire for a positive self-image leading to egocentric bias and the avoidance of unpleasant cognitive dissonance.BOOK, Hoorens, V., 1993, Self-enhancement and Superiority Biases in Social Comparison, European Review of Social Psychology 4, Wolfgang Stroebe, Stroebe, W., Hewstone, Miles, Wiley, Other biases are due to the particular way the brain perceives, forms memories and makes judgments. This distinction is sometimes described as "hot cognition" versus "cold cognition", as motivated reasoning can involve a state of arousal.Among the "cold" biases,
  • some are due to ignoring relevant information (e.g., neglect of probability).
  • some involve a decision or judgement being affected by irrelevant information (for example the framing effect where the same problem receives different responses depending on how it is described; or the distinction bias where choices presented together have different outcomes than those presented separately).
  • others give excessive weight to an unimportant but salient feature of the problem (e.g., anchoring).
The fact that some biases reflect motivation, and in particular the motivation to have positive attitudes to oneself accounts for the fact that many biases are self-serving or self-directed (e.g., illusion of asymmetric insight, self-serving bias). There are also biases in how subjects evaluate in-groups or out-groups; evaluating in-groups as more diverse and "better" in many respects, even when those groups are arbitrarily-defined (ingroup bias, outgroup homogeneity bias).Some cognitive biases belong to the subgroup of attentional biases which refer to the paying of increased attention to certain stimuli. It has been shown, for example, that people addicted to alcohol and other drugs pay more attention to drug-related stimuli. Common psychological tests to measure those biases are the Stroop taskJOURNAL, Jensen AR, Rohwer WD, The Stroop color-word test: a review, Acta psychologica, 25, 1, 36–93, 1966, 5328883, 10.1016/0001-6918(66)90004-7, JOURNAL, MacLeod CM, Half a century of research on the Stroop effect: an integrative review, Psychological Bulletin, 109, 2, 163–203, March 1991, 2034749,weblink 10.1037/0033-2909.109.2.163, and the dot probe task.Individuals' susceptibility to some types of cognitive biases can be measured by the Cognitive Reflection Test (CRT) developed by Frederick (2005).JOURNAL, Frederick, Shane, 2005, Cognitive Reflection and Decision Making,weblink Journal of Economic Perspectives, en, 19, 4, 25–42, 10.1257/089533005775196732, 0895-3309, JOURNAL, Oechssler, Jörg, Roider, Andreas, Schmitz, Patrick W., 2009, Cognitive abilities and behavioral biases,weblink Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 72, 1, 147–152, 10.1016/j.jebo.2009.04.018, 0167-2681,

List

The following is a list of the more commonly studied cognitive biases:{| class="wikitable"! Name! Description
| Fundamental attribution error (FAE)
LAST-AUTHOR-AMP=YES JOURNAL=JOURNAL OF EXPERIMENTAL SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGYVOLUME=3DOI=10.1016/0022-1031(67)90034-0, classic study illustrates the FAE. Despite being made aware that the target's speech direction (pro-Castro/anti-Castro) was assigned to the writer, participants ignored the situational pressures and attributed pro-Castro attitudes to the writer when the speech represented such attitudes.
| Confirmation bias
JOURNAL=COGNITIVE THERAPY AND RESEARCHVOLUME=1PAGES=161–175cognitive dissonance. Whereby, individuals may reduce inconsistency by searching for information which re-confirms their views (Jermias, 2001, p. 146).JERMIAS, J.JOURNAL=ACCOUNTING, ORGANIZATIONS AND SOCIETYVOLUME=26PAGES=141–160, 10.1016/s0361-3682(00)00008-8,
| Self-serving bias| The tendency to claim more responsibility for successes than failures. It may also manifest itself as a tendency for people to evaluate ambiguous information in a way beneficial to their interests.
| Belief bias| When one's evaluation of the logical strength of an argument is biased by their belief in the truth or falsity of the conclusion.
Framing (social sciences)>Framing| Using a too-narrow approach and description of the situation or issue.
| Hindsight bias| Sometimes called the "I-knew-it-all-along" effect, is the inclination to see past events as being predictable.
A 2012 Psychological Bulletin article suggests that at least 8 seemingly unrelated biases can be produced by the same information-theoretic generative mechanism.Martin Hilbert (2012) "Toward a synthesis of cognitive biases: How noisy information processing can bias human decision making"" Psychological Bulletin 138(2), 211–237; free access to the study here: martinhilbert.net/HilbertPsychBull.pdf It is shown that noisy deviations in the memory-based information processes that convert objective evidence (observations) into subjective estimates (decisions) can produce regressive conservatism, the belief revision (Bayesian conservatism), illusory correlations, illusory superiority (better-than-average effect) and worse-than-average effect, subadditivity effect, exaggerated expectation, overconfidence, and the hard–easy effect.

Practical significance

{{further|Confirmation bias#Consequences}}Many social institutions rely on individuals to make rational judgments.The securities regulation regime largely assumes that all investors act as perfectly rational persons. In truth, actual investors face cognitive limitations from biases, heuristics, and framing effects.A fair jury trial, for example, requires that the jury ignore irrelevant features of the case, weigh the relevant features appropriately, consider different possibilities open-mindedly and resist fallacies such as appeal to emotion. The various biases demonstrated in these psychological experiments suggest that people will frequently fail to do all these things.Sutherland, Stuart (2007) Irrationality: The Enemy Within Second Edition (First Edition 1994) Pinter & Martin. {{ISBN|978-1-905177-07-3}} However, they fail to do so in systematic, directional ways that are predictable.Cognitive biases are also related to the persistence of superstition, to large social issues such as prejudice, and they also work as a hindrance in the acceptance of scientific non-intuitive knowledge by the public.BOOK, Motivation in language: studies in honor of Günter Radden,weblink Günter Radden, H. Cuyckens, John Benjamins, 2003, 275, 978-1-58811-426-6, However, in some academic disciplines, the study of bias is very popular. For instance, bias is a wide spread phenomenon and well studied, because most decisions that concern the minds and hearts of entrepreneurs are computationally intractable

Reducing

Similar to Gigerenzer (1996),JOURNAL, Gigerenzer, G., On narrow norms and vague heuristics: A reply to Kahneman and Tversky (1996), Psychological Review, 1996, 103, 3, 592–596, 10.1037/0033-295x.103.3.592, Haselton et al. (2005) state the content and direction of cognitive biases are not "arbitrary" (p. 730). Moreover, cognitive biases can be controlled. Debiasing is a technique which aims to decrease biases by encouraging individuals to use controlled processing compared to automatic processing.BOOK, Baumeister, R. F., Bushman, B. J., Social psychology and human nature: International Edition, 2010, Belmont, USA: Wadsworth., In relation to reducing the FAE, monetary incentivesJOURNAL, Vonk, R., Effects of outcome dependency on correspondence bias, Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 1999, 25, 3, 382–389, 10.1177/0146167299025003009, and informing participants they will be held accountable for their attributionsJOURNAL, Tetlock, P. E., Accountability: A social check on the fundamental attribution error, Social Psychology Quarterly, 1985, 48, 3, 227–236, 10.2307/3033683, 3033683, have been linked to the increase of accurate attributions. Training has also shown to reduce cognitive bias. Morewedge and colleagues (2015) found that research participants exposed to one-shot training interventions, such as educational videos and debiasing games that taught mitigating strategies, exhibited significant reductions in their commission of six cognitive biases immediately and up to 3 months later.JOURNAL, Debiasing Decisions Improved Decision Making With a Single Training Intervention,weblink Policy Insights from the Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 2015-08-13, 2372-7322, 2372732215600886, 10.1177/2372732215600886, Carey K., Morewedge, Haewon, Yoon, Irene, Scopelliti, Carl W., Symborski, James H., Korris, Karim S., Kassam, 2, Cognitive bias modification refers to the process of modifying cognitive biases in healthy people and also refers to a growing area of psychological (non-pharmaceutical) therapies for anxiety, depression and addiction called cognitive bias modification therapy (CBMT). CBMT is sub-group of therapies within a growing area of psychological therapies based on modifying cognitive processes with or without accompanying medication and talk therapy, sometimes referred to as applied cognitive processing therapies (ACPT). Although cognitive bias modification can refer to modifying cognitive processes in healthy individuals, CBMT is a growing area of evidence-based psychological therapy, in which cognitive processes are modified to relieve sufferingJOURNAL, MacLeod, C., Mathews, A., Tata, P., 1986, Attentional Bias in Emotional Disorders, Journal of Abnormal Psychology, 95, 1, 15–20, 10.1037/0021-843x.95.1.15, 3700842, JOURNAL, Bar-Haim, Y., Lamy, D., Pergamin, L., Bakermans-Kranenburg, M. J., 2007, Threat-related attentional bias in anxious and nonanxious individuals: a meta-analytic study, Psychol Bull, 133, 1, 1–24, 10.1037/0033-2909.133.1.1, 17201568, from serious depression,JOURNAL, Holmes, E. A., Lang, T. J., Shah, D. M., 2009, Developing interpretation bias modification as a "cognitive vaccine" for depressed mood: imagining positive events makes you feel better than thinking about them verbally, J Abnorm Psychol, 118, 1, 76–88, 10.1037/a0012590, 19222316, anxiety,JOURNAL, Hakamata, Y., Lissek, S., Bar-Haim, Y., Britton, J. C., Fox, N. A., Leibenluft, E., Pine, D. S., 2010, Attention bias modification treatment: a meta-analysis toward the establishment of novel treatment for anxiety, Biol Psychiatry, 68, 11, 982–990, 10.1016/j.biopsych.2010.07.021, 3296778, and addiction.JOURNAL, Eberl, C., Wiers, R. W., Pawelczack, S., Rinck, M., Becker, E. S., Lindenmeyer, J., 2013, Approach bias modification in alcohol dependence: Do clinical effects replicate and for whom does it work best?, Developmental Cognitive Neuroscience, 4, 38–51, 10.1016/j.dcn.2012.11.002, 23218805, CBMT techniques are technology assisted therapies that are delivered via a computer with or without clinician support. CBM combines evidence and theory from the cognitive model of anxiety,Clark, D. A., & Beck, A. T. (2009). Cognitive Therapy of Anxiety Disorders: Science and Practice. London: Guildford. cognitive neuroscience,JOURNAL, Browning, M., Holmes, E. A., Murphy, S. E., Goodwin, G. M., Harmer, C. J., 2010, Lateral prefrontal cortex mediates the cognitive modification of attentional bias, Biol Psychiatry, 67, 10, 919–925, 10.1016/j.biopsych.2009.10.031, 20034617, 2866253, and attentional models.JOURNAL, Eysenck, M. W., Derakshan, N., Santos, R., Calvo, M. G., 2007, Anxiety and cognitive performance: Attentional control theory, Emotion, 7, 2, 336–353, 10.1037/1528-3542.7.2.336,

Criticisms

There are criticisms against theories of cognitive biases based on the fact that both sides in a debate often claim each other's thoughts to be in human nature and the result of cognitive bias, while claiming their own viewpoint as being the correct way to "overcome" cognitive bias. This is not due simply to debate misconduct but is a more fundamental problem that stems from psychology's making up of multiple opposed cognitive bias theories that can be non-falsifiably used to explain away any viewpoint.Popper, Karl, Conjectures and Refutations: The Growth of Scientific Knowledge{{page needed|date=April 2017}}{{verify source|date=April 2017}}"Surely You're Joking, Mr. Feynman!": Adventures of a Curious Character, 1985, Richard Feynman{{page needed|date=April 2017}}{{verify source|date=April 2017}}

See also

{{Div col|colwidth=15em}} {{Div col end}}

References

{{Reflist}}

Further reading

  • Eiser, J.R. and Joop van der Pligt (1988) Attitudes and Decisions London: Routledge. {{ISBN|978-0-415-01112-9}}
  • Fine, Cordelia (2006) A Mind of its Own: How your brain distorts and deceives Cambridge, UK: Icon Books. {{ISBN|1-84046-678-2}}
  • Gilovich, Thomas (1993). How We Know What Isn't So: The Fallibility of Human Reason in Everyday Life. New York: The Free Press. {{ISBN|0-02-911706-2}}
  • Haselton, M.G., Nettle, D. & Andrews, P.W. (2005). The evolution of cognitive bias. In D.M. Buss (Ed.), Handbook of Evolutionary Psychology, (pp. 724–746). Hoboken: Wiley. Full text
  • WEB, Heuer, Richards J. Jr., Richards Heuer, 1999, Psychology of Intelligence Analysis. Central Intelligence Agency,weblink
  • Young, S. (2007) Micromessaging - Why Great Leadership Is Beyond Words New York: McGraw-Hill. {{ISBN|978-0-07-146757-5}}
  • Kahneman D., Slovic P., and Tversky, A. (Eds.) (1982) Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. New York: Cambridge University Press {{ISBN|978-0-521-28414-1}}
  • Kahneman, Daniel (2011) Thinking, Fast and Slow. New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux {{ISBN|978-0-374-27563-1}}
  • Kida, Thomas (2006) Don't Believe Everything You Think: The 6 Basic Mistakes We Make in Thinking New York: Prometheus. {{ISBN|978-1-59102-408-8}}
  • Nisbett, R., and Ross, L. (1980) Human Inference: Strategies and shortcomings of human judgement. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall {{ISBN|978-0-13-445130-5}}
  • Piatelli-Palmarini, Massimo (1994) Inevitable Illusions: How Mistakes of Reason Rule Our Minds New York: John Wiley & Sons. {{ISBN|0-471-15962-X}}
  • BOOK, What Intelligence Tests Miss: The Psychology of Rational Thought, Stanovich, Keith, 2009, Yale University Press, New Haven (CT), 978-0-300-12385-2,weblink 21 November 2010,
  • Sutherland, Stuart (2007) Irrationality: The Enemy Within Second Edition (First Edition 1994) Pinter & Martin. {{ISBN|978-1-905177-07-3}}
  • Tavris, Carol and Elliot Aronson (2007) Mistakes Were Made (But Not by Me): Why We Justify Foolish Beliefs, Bad Decisions and Hurtful Acts Orlando, Florida: Harcourt Books. {{ISBN|978-0-15-101098-1}}
  • JOURNAL, Funder, David C., Joachim I. Krueger, Towards a balanced social psychology: Causes, consequences, and cures for the problem-seeking approach to social behavior and cognition, Behavioral and Brain Sciences, June 2004, 27, 313–376, 15736870,weblinkweblink" title="web.archive.org/web/20140222041533weblink">weblink yes, 2014-02-22, 3 May 2011, 3, 10.1017/s0140525x04000081,

External links

{{Biases}}

- content above as imported from Wikipedia
- "Cognitive bias" does not exist on GetWiki (yet)
- time: 2:21pm EST - Sun, Nov 18 2018
[ this remote article is provided by Wikipedia ]
LATEST EDITS [ see all ]
GETWIKI 09 MAY 2016
GETWIKI 18 OCT 2015
M.R.M. Parrott
Biographies
GETWIKI 20 AUG 2014
GETWIKI 19 AUG 2014
GETWIKI 18 AUG 2014
Wikinfo
Culture
CONNECT